Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,135 Wol.
$41,135 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$41,135 Wol.
$41,135 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,678 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$10,457 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,135Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$41,135Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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