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Geopolityka·Izrael

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Geopolityka·Izrael

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$335,859 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$335,859 Wol.

Polymarket
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North Korea

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2%

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Cuba

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1%

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Saudi Arabia

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2%

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Lebanon

$44,703 Wol.

6%

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Afghanistan

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1%

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Iraq

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1%

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Pakistan

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1%

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Syria

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3%

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Venezuela

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2%

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Tunisia

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1%

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Kuwait

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2%

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Qatar

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3%

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Indonesia

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1%

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Malaysia

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1%

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Bangladesh

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3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic signals from Syrian authorities under HTS point to possible normalization with Israel, including recognition and ambassador exchanges targeted by the end of 2026, which could influence near-term developments ahead of the June 30 resolution date. French proposals to conclude the Lebanon conflict have incorporated Lebanese recognition of Israel as a core element, tied to ceasefire and security arrangements. Broader regional dynamics, including potential Abraham Accords expansions and post-conflict realignments, remain key drivers, though Saudi Arabia and other Arab states continue to condition any ties on progress toward a Palestinian state. Trader assessments weigh these verifiable diplomatic overtures against the short timeline and historical patterns of incremental recognition rather than rapid breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$335,859
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic signals from Syrian authorities under HTS point to possible normalization with Israel, including recognition and ambassador exchanges targeted by the end of 2026, which could influence near-term developments ahead of the June 30 resolution date. French proposals to conclude the Lebanon conflict have incorporated Lebanese recognition of Israel as a core element, tied to ceasefire and security arrangements. Broader regional dynamics, including potential Abraham Accords expansions and post-conflict realignments, remain key drivers, though Saudi Arabia and other Arab states continue to condition any ties on progress toward a Palestinian state. Trader assessments weigh these verifiable diplomatic overtures against the short timeline and historical patterns of incremental recognition rather than rapid breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$335,859
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Lebanon" z 6%, za nim "Syria" z 3%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 6¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 6% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" wygenerował $335.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 20, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" jest "Lebanon" z zaledwie 6%, a za nim "Syria" z 3%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.