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icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

Jedna Rosja (ER) 59%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 30.9%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.5%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,314,982 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER) 59%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 30.9%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.5%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,314,982 Wol.

icon for Jedna Rosja (ER)

Jedna Rosja (ER)

$2,184,060 Wol.

59%

icon for Nowi Ludzie (NL)

Nowi Ludzie (NL)

$1,084,450 Wol.

31%

icon for Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

$2,278,104 Wol.

5%

icon for Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

$660,286 Wol.

3%

icon for Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

$575,917 Wol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$946,241 Wol.

<1%

icon for Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

$585,923 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 State Duma election reflects its entrenched structural advantages under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party benefits from centralized administrative control, recent candidate-list placements featuring prominent figures tied to the special military operation, and consistent polling support well above 35 percent across major surveys. New People trails as the next-most-favored option due to modest polling gains in select state-linked surveys and limited opposition fragmentation, yet faces the same 5 percent threshold and institutional barriers that constrain all non-ruling parties. Other contenders such as LDPR and KPRF register minimal implied probabilities amid ongoing legislative tightening and opposition constraints ahead of the September vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$8,314,982
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 State Duma election reflects its entrenched structural advantages under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The ruling party benefits from centralized administrative control, recent candidate-list placements featuring prominent figures tied to the special military operation, and consistent polling support well above 35 percent across major surveys. New People trails as the next-most-favored option due to modest polling gains in select state-linked surveys and limited opposition fragmentation, yet faces the same 5 percent threshold and institutional barriers that constrain all non-ruling parties. Other contenders such as LDPR and KPRF register minimal implied probabilities amid ongoing legislative tightening and opposition constraints ahead of the September vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$8,314,982
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 59%, za nim "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 31%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 59¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 59% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" wygenerował $8.3 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" jest "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 59%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 59% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 31%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.