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icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

Jedna Rosja (ER) 69%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 18.4%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 4.8%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 2.3%

Polymarket

$16,909,603 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER) 69%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 18.4%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 4.8%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 2.3%

Polymarket

$16,909,603 Wol.

icon for Jedna Rosja (ER)

Jedna Rosja (ER)

$6,282,862 Wol.

69%

icon for Nowi Ludzie (NL)

Nowi Ludzie (NL)

$1,856,082 Wol.

18%

icon for Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

$3,033,701 Wol.

5%

icon for Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

$1,169,795 Wol.

2%

icon for Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

$1,218,597 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$2,085,905 Wol.

<1%

icon for Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

$1,262,661 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with a current majority of roughly 314 seats and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Kremlin preparations, including candidate nominations, integration of war veterans into party lists, and multi-day voting procedures confirmed after the June 2026 decree, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority under the mixed electoral system. New People holds the next-highest implied probability as the leading non-systemic alternative among registered parties, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller groups like SRZP face structural barriers from limited media access and the 5 percent threshold. No major shifts in elite alignments or public polling have altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$16,909,603
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with a current majority of roughly 314 seats and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Kremlin preparations, including candidate nominations, integration of war veterans into party lists, and multi-day voting procedures confirmed after the June 2026 decree, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority under the mixed electoral system. New People holds the next-highest implied probability as the leading non-systemic alternative among registered parties, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller groups like SRZP face structural barriers from limited media access and the 5 percent threshold. No major shifts in elite alignments or public polling have altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$16,909,603
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 69%, za nim "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 18%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" wygenerował $16.9 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" jest "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 18%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.