The 2026 midterm elections in November represent the primary near-term catalyst for this market, as potential 2028 contenders typically form exploratory committees, visit early primary states, or make formal announcements in the weeks and months afterward. As of September 2026, only minor candidates such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White have filed or announced, while prominent figures including Vice President JD Vance, former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg have not launched campaigns. Activity remains limited to early positioning and polling speculation, with traders pricing in the likelihood that at least some major names will move before December 31, 2026, though many signals point to a heavier announcement window in 2027. Structural factors like term limits and open nomination processes in both parties keep the field fluid.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,144,317 Wol.

Gavin Newsom
13%

Pete Buttigieg
10%

Ron DeSantis
8%

J.D. Vance
8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Stephen A. Smith
8%

Raphael Warnock
8%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

Don Lemon
7%

Gretchen Whitmer
7%

J.B. Pritzker
7%

Ted Cruz
6%

Hunter Biden
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Jon Stewart
6%

Cory Booker
6%

Kamala Harris
6%

George Clooney
6%

Donald Trump Jr.
6%

Donald Trump
5%

Phil Murphy
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Tucker Carlson
5%

Beto O’Rourke
5%

Vivek Ramaswamy
5%

Brian Kemp
5%

Rand Paul
5%

Greg Abbott
4%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Elise Stefanik
4%

Candace Owens
4%

Mark Kelly
4%

Steve Bannon
4%

Erika Kirk
4%

Ivanka Trump
4%

Rahm Emanuel
4%

John Thune
4%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Tom Brady
3%

Mike Pence
3%

Elon Musk
3%

Michelle Obama
3%

John Fetterman
3%

Wes Moore
3%

LeBron James
3%

Jared Polis
3%

Marco Rubio
3%

Jon Ossoff
2%

Oprah Winfrey
2%

MrBeast
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Bernie Sanders
2%

Josh Hawley
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Katie Britt
2%

Mark Cuban
2%

Tim Walz
2%

Roy Cooper
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Andrew Yang
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Andy Beshear
<1%
$1,144,317 Wol.

Gavin Newsom
13%

Pete Buttigieg
10%

Ron DeSantis
8%

J.D. Vance
8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Stephen A. Smith
8%

Raphael Warnock
8%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

Don Lemon
7%

Gretchen Whitmer
7%

J.B. Pritzker
7%

Ted Cruz
6%

Hunter Biden
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Jon Stewart
6%

Cory Booker
6%

Kamala Harris
6%

George Clooney
6%

Donald Trump Jr.
6%

Donald Trump
5%

Phil Murphy
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Tucker Carlson
5%

Beto O’Rourke
5%

Vivek Ramaswamy
5%

Brian Kemp
5%

Rand Paul
5%

Greg Abbott
4%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Elise Stefanik
4%

Candace Owens
4%

Mark Kelly
4%

Steve Bannon
4%

Erika Kirk
4%

Ivanka Trump
4%

Rahm Emanuel
4%

John Thune
4%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Tom Brady
3%

Mike Pence
3%

Elon Musk
3%

Michelle Obama
3%

John Fetterman
3%

Wes Moore
3%

LeBron James
3%

Jared Polis
3%

Marco Rubio
3%

Jon Ossoff
2%

Oprah Winfrey
2%

MrBeast
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Bernie Sanders
2%

Josh Hawley
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Katie Britt
2%

Mark Cuban
2%

Tim Walz
2%

Roy Cooper
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Andrew Yang
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Andy Beshear
<1%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections in November represent the primary near-term catalyst for this market, as potential 2028 contenders typically form exploratory committees, visit early primary states, or make formal announcements in the weeks and months afterward. As of September 2026, only minor candidates such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White have filed or announced, while prominent figures including Vice President JD Vance, former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg have not launched campaigns. Activity remains limited to early positioning and polling speculation, with traders pricing in the likelihood that at least some major names will move before December 31, 2026, though many signals point to a heavier announcement window in 2027. Structural factors like term limits and open nomination processes in both parties keep the field fluid.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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