Sweden's centre-left opposition maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with the Red-Green bloc projected at 50-53% support compared to 45-47% for the incumbent Tidö parties. Surveys from Demoskop and Novus in July and August show the Social Democrats holding steady near 31-32%, while the Liberals hover around 2%, raising the risk they fall below the 4% threshold needed for Riksdag seats. This dynamic has kept the Tidö bloc, which includes the Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats, short of the 175-seat majority in seat projections. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% based on these sustained trends in voter preferences and bloc arithmetic.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano22% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
22% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's centre-left opposition maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with the Red-Green bloc projected at 50-53% support compared to 45-47% for the incumbent Tidö parties. Surveys from Demoskop and Novus in July and August show the Social Democrats holding steady near 31-32%, while the Liberals hover around 2%, raising the risk they fall below the 4% threshold needed for Riksdag seats. This dynamic has kept the Tidö bloc, which includes the Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats, short of the 175-seat majority in seat projections. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% based on these sustained trends in voter preferences and bloc arithmetic.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,165Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's centre-left opposition maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with the Red-Green bloc projected at 50-53% support compared to 45-47% for the incumbent Tidö parties. Surveys from Demoskop and Novus in July and August show the Social Democrats holding steady near 31-32%, while the Liberals hover around 2%, raising the risk they fall below the 4% threshold needed for Riksdag seats. This dynamic has kept the Tidö bloc, which includes the Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats, short of the 175-seat majority in seat projections. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% based on these sustained trends in voter preferences and bloc arithmetic.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Wolumen
$7,165Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sweden's centre-left opposition maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, with the Red-Green bloc projected at 50-53% support compared to 45-47% for the incumbent Tidö parties. Surveys from Demoskop and Novus in July and August show the Social Democrats holding steady near 31-32%, while the Liberals hover around 2%, raising the risk they fall below the 4% threshold needed for Riksdag seats. This dynamic has kept the Tidö bloc, which includes the Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats, short of the 175-seat majority in seat projections. Traders price the "No" outcome at 77.5% based on these sustained trends in voter preferences and bloc arithmetic.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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