Asylum predictions & odds

Politics·Asylum

Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?

$52 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

62%

$52 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

$4.7K Vol.

$815 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$4.7K Vol.

$815 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Politics·Podcast

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

$4.8K Vol.

$346 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

20%

$4.8K Vol.

$346 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$3.9K Vol.

$33 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

23%

$3.9K Vol.

$33 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Sports·Games

ASD Sorrento 1945 vs. Altamura Societa' Sportiva SRL

$0 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

52%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Politics·Deportation

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

$975 Vol.

$588 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$975 Vol.

$588 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Politics·England

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

$3.8K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$3.8K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·US Election

Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

$5.4K Vol.

$388 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

60%

$5.4K Vol.

$388 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Geopolitics·Maduro

María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?

$891 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

12%

$891 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$4.8K Vol.

$662 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

80%

November 15

$4.8K Vol.

$662 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Esports·Valorant

VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team

$1.4K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

81%

100 Thieves

$1.4K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Politics·Arrest

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

$315K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$315K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·US Election

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

$4.4K Vol.

$557 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

87%

$4.4K Vol.

$557 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Politics·Congress

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

$194K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$194K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Sports·Games

Chungnam Asan FC vs. Gimpo FC - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

28%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Elections·US Election

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

$1.8K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

79%

$1.8K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Elections·Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

$17.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

24%

$17.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Sports·Games

AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

16%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Politics·Prison

Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

$1.5K Vol.

$205 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$1.5K Vol.

$205 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Sports·Games

Club Guarani Asuncion vs. CS 2 de Mayo - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

36%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Asylum.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Asylum that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $565K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Andrew Tate released from custody by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Asylum predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Asylum shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Asylum prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Asylum Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Asylum predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Asylum prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Asylum markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Asylum prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Asylum predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Asylum odds?

Can I track Asylum predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Asylum markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Asylum prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Asylum markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Asylum prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Asylum predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Asylum odds?

Can I track Asylum predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Asylum markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Asylum predictions & odds