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icon for Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe

Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe

icon for Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe

Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe

Édouard Philippe 67%

Gabriel Attal 16.4%

Ambos 15%

Nenhum <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Édouard Philippe 67%

Gabriel Attal 16.4%

Ambos 15%

Nenhum <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$2,118 Vol.

67%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,389 Vol.

16%

icon for Ambos

Ambos

$1,466 Vol.

15%

icon for Nenhum

Nenhum

$629 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for the 2027 French presidential race due to his stronger polling position within the fragmented centrist bloc. Recent surveys from September 2026, including those by Ipsos, Ifop, and OpinionWay, show Philippe consistently ahead of Gabriel Attal when both candidates are tested, often by margins of 6–10 points in first-round scenarios, with Philippe better able to consolidate center-right and Macron-aligned voters. Philippe has advanced this edge through recent campaign organization, including a broadened committee and outreach to right and center figures for potential unity talks scheduled around early November. Attal, who declared his candidacy in May 2026, has focused on policy differentiation and renewal messaging but trails in the same polls and has seen limited movement in consolidating the same electorate. The overall first-round environment remains dominated by far-right and far-left contenders, underscoring the importance of center cohesion for either former prime minister.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,602
Data de Término
18 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for the 2027 French presidential race due to his stronger polling position within the fragmented centrist bloc. Recent surveys from September 2026, including those by Ipsos, Ifop, and OpinionWay, show Philippe consistently ahead of Gabriel Attal when both candidates are tested, often by margins of 6–10 points in first-round scenarios, with Philippe better able to consolidate center-right and Macron-aligned voters. Philippe has advanced this edge through recent campaign organization, including a broadened committee and outreach to right and center figures for potential unity talks scheduled around early November. Attal, who declared his candidacy in May 2026, has focused on policy differentiation and renewal messaging but trails in the same polls and has seen limited movement in consolidating the same electorate. The overall first-round environment remains dominated by far-right and far-left contenders, underscoring the importance of center cohesion for either former prime minister.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,602
Data de Término
18 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 67%, followed by "Gabriel Attal" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe" is "Édouard Philippe" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gabriel Attal" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial francesa de 2027: Attal x Philippe" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.