Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, fresh off securing a House of Commons majority via by-elections on April 13, 2026, has eliminated prior minority vulnerabilities that could trigger a snap election, driving trader consensus to 98.8% against another federal vote called by June 30. The April 2025 snap election—following Justin Trudeau's resignation and Carney's ascension—remains the most recent, with no lost confidence votes, prorogations, or dissolution signals since. Fixed-date rules point to 2029, and recent stability amid policy focus on trade and defense reinforces calm. Realistic shifts would require a sudden scandal, leadership upheaval, or unified opposition no-confidence motion, though the short 45-day window limits feasibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$80,456 Vol.
$80,456 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$80,456 Vol.
$80,456 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, fresh off securing a House of Commons majority via by-elections on April 13, 2026, has eliminated prior minority vulnerabilities that could trigger a snap election, driving trader consensus to 98.8% against another federal vote called by June 30. The April 2025 snap election—following Justin Trudeau's resignation and Carney's ascension—remains the most recent, with no lost confidence votes, prorogations, or dissolution signals since. Fixed-date rules point to 2029, and recent stability amid policy focus on trade and defense reinforces calm. Realistic shifts would require a sudden scandal, leadership upheaval, or unified opposition no-confidence motion, though the short 45-day window limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$80,456Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, fresh off securing a House of Commons majority via by-elections on April 13, 2026, has eliminated prior minority vulnerabilities that could trigger a snap election, driving trader consensus to 98.8% against another federal vote called by June 30. The April 2025 snap election—following Justin Trudeau's resignation and Carney's ascension—remains the most recent, with no lost confidence votes, prorogations, or dissolution signals since. Fixed-date rules point to 2029, and recent stability amid policy focus on trade and defense reinforces calm. Realistic shifts would require a sudden scandal, leadership upheaval, or unified opposition no-confidence motion, though the short 45-day window limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$80,456Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, fresh off securing a House of Commons majority via by-elections on April 13, 2026, has eliminated prior minority vulnerabilities that could trigger a snap election, driving trader consensus to 98.8% against another federal vote called by June 30. The April 2025 snap election—following Justin Trudeau's resignation and Carney's ascension—remains the most recent, with no lost confidence votes, prorogations, or dissolution signals since. Fixed-date rules point to 2029, and recent stability amid policy focus on trade and defense reinforces calm. Realistic shifts would require a sudden scandal, leadership upheaval, or unified opposition no-confidence motion, though the short 45-day window limits feasibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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