Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 33.8% year-over-year rate, up slightly from 33.5% in June, combined with monthly increases near 1.9-2.1%, anchors trader expectations for Argentina's full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. President Milei's fiscal surplus, continued crawling-peg adjustments, and reserve-building efforts have sustained disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet sticky services prices and uneven economic recovery introduce inertia that keeps the 30.0-34.9% band narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 51.3% versus 44.0% implied probability. Central bank surveys and analyst medians have edged lower to around 29.8-30% for year-end, while September CPI and potential policy shifts on exchange-rate flexibility represent near-term catalysts that could tip the closely matched ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado30,0-34,9% 51.4%
25-29,9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 jan 2027
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
2%
25-29,9%
44%
30,0-34,9%
51%
35–39,9%
<1%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30,0-34,9% 51.4%
25-29,9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 jan 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29,9%
$12,331 Vol.
44%
30,0-34,9%
$10,612 Vol.
51%
35–39,9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44,9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 33.8% year-over-year rate, up slightly from 33.5% in June, combined with monthly increases near 1.9-2.1%, anchors trader expectations for Argentina's full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. President Milei's fiscal surplus, continued crawling-peg adjustments, and reserve-building efforts have sustained disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet sticky services prices and uneven economic recovery introduce inertia that keeps the 30.0-34.9% band narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 51.3% versus 44.0% implied probability. Central bank surveys and analyst medians have edged lower to around 29.8-30% for year-end, while September CPI and potential policy shifts on exchange-rate flexibility represent near-term catalysts that could tip the closely matched ranges.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,125Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 33.8% year-over-year rate, up slightly from 33.5% in June, combined with monthly increases near 1.9-2.1%, anchors trader expectations for Argentina's full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. President Milei's fiscal surplus, continued crawling-peg adjustments, and reserve-building efforts have sustained disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet sticky services prices and uneven economic recovery introduce inertia that keeps the 30.0-34.9% band narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 51.3% versus 44.0% implied probability. Central bank surveys and analyst medians have edged lower to around 29.8-30% for year-end, while September CPI and potential policy shifts on exchange-rate flexibility represent near-term catalysts that could tip the closely matched ranges.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,125Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 33.8% year-over-year rate, up slightly from 33.5% in June, combined with monthly increases near 1.9-2.1%, anchors trader expectations for Argentina's full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. President Milei's fiscal surplus, continued crawling-peg adjustments, and reserve-building efforts have sustained disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet sticky services prices and uneven economic recovery introduce inertia that keeps the 30.0-34.9% band narrowly ahead of 25-29.9% at 51.3% versus 44.0% implied probability. Central bank surveys and analyst medians have edged lower to around 29.8-30% for year-end, while September CPI and potential policy shifts on exchange-rate flexibility represent near-term catalysts that could tip the closely matched ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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