Argentina’s July 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.1 percent, landing squarely inside the 2.1-2.3 percent range that commands 99.5 percent implied probability on Polymarket. The print follows June’s 1.9 percent pace and aligns closely with consensus estimates from the BCRA’s REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary conditions and peso stability. Traders have priced the outcome with high conviction because official INDEC data, released around August 13, matched the expected trajectory without material surprises in key components such as food, transport, or regulated prices. A late revision by the statistics agency or an unexpected methodological adjustment remains the principal, albeit low-probability, risk that could still shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Mensal Argentina - Julho
Inflação Mensal Argentina - Julho
2,1-2,3% 100.0%
≤1,1% <1%
1,2-1,4% <1%
1,5-1,7% <1%
$32,943 Vol.
$32,943 Vol.
13 ago 2026
≤1,1%
Não
1,2-1,4%
Não
1,5-1,7%
Não
1,8-2,0%
Não
2,1-2,3%
Sim
2,4-2,6%
Não
2,7-2,9%
Não
3,0%+
Não
2,1-2,3% 100.0%
≤1,1% <1%
1,2-1,4% <1%
1,5-1,7% <1%
$32,943 Vol.
$32,943 Vol.
13 ago 2026
≤1,1%
$1,354 Vol.
Não
1,2-1,4%
$2,060 Vol.
Não
1,5-1,7%
$5,105 Vol.
Não
1,8-2,0%
$11,679 Vol.
Não
2,1-2,3%
$7,132 Vol.
Sim
2,4-2,6%
$2,877 Vol.
Não
2,7-2,9%
$1,729 Vol.
Não
3,0%+
$1,008 Vol.
Não
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s July 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.1 percent, landing squarely inside the 2.1-2.3 percent range that commands 99.5 percent implied probability on Polymarket. The print follows June’s 1.9 percent pace and aligns closely with consensus estimates from the BCRA’s REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary conditions and peso stability. Traders have priced the outcome with high conviction because official INDEC data, released around August 13, matched the expected trajectory without material surprises in key components such as food, transport, or regulated prices. A late revision by the statistics agency or an unexpected methodological adjustment remains the principal, albeit low-probability, risk that could still shift resolution.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Volume
$32,943Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s July 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.1 percent, landing squarely inside the 2.1-2.3 percent range that commands 99.5 percent implied probability on Polymarket. The print follows June’s 1.9 percent pace and aligns closely with consensus estimates from the BCRA’s REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary conditions and peso stability. Traders have priced the outcome with high conviction because official INDEC data, released around August 13, matched the expected trajectory without material surprises in key components such as food, transport, or regulated prices. A late revision by the statistics agency or an unexpected methodological adjustment remains the principal, albeit low-probability, risk that could still shift resolution.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$32,943Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Argentina’s July 2026 monthly CPI rose 2.1 percent, landing squarely inside the 2.1-2.3 percent range that commands 99.5 percent implied probability on Polymarket. The print follows June’s 1.9 percent pace and aligns closely with consensus estimates from the BCRA’s REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting sustained disinflation amid tighter monetary conditions and peso stability. Traders have priced the outcome with high conviction because official INDEC data, released around August 13, matched the expected trajectory without material surprises in key components such as food, transport, or regulated prices. A late revision by the statistics agency or an unexpected methodological adjustment remains the principal, albeit low-probability, risk that could still shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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