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icon for Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

icon for Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

$274,861 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$274,861 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 30 de junho

30 de junho

$233,244 Vol.

1%

icon for 31 de dezembro

31 de dezembro

$41,617 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gustavo Petro’s term as Colombia’s president ends constitutionally on August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election that will select his successor, as he is barred from seeking reelection. Recent polling shows his approval rating rebounding to the mid-to-high 40s, aided by minimum-wage increases and targeted social spending, while earlier setbacks—including stalled labor and health reforms, cabinet reshuffles amid scandals, and legislative defeats—have eased without triggering successful impeachment proceedings or resignation calls. Diplomatic tensions with the United States over counternarcotics policy and sanctions have not escalated into domestic removal efforts, and recent congressional gains for his coalition have not altered the fixed transition timeline. Upcoming events center on the imminent election and orderly handover, with no scheduled constitutional or judicial actions positioned to accelerate his departure before the standard end of term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274,861
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gustavo Petro’s term as Colombia’s president ends constitutionally on August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election that will select his successor, as he is barred from seeking reelection. Recent polling shows his approval rating rebounding to the mid-to-high 40s, aided by minimum-wage increases and targeted social spending, while earlier setbacks—including stalled labor and health reforms, cabinet reshuffles amid scandals, and legislative defeats—have eased without triggering successful impeachment proceedings or resignation calls. Diplomatic tensions with the United States over counternarcotics policy and sanctions have not escalated into domestic removal efforts, and recent congressional gains for his coalition have not altered the fixed transition timeline. Upcoming events center on the imminent election and orderly handover, with no scheduled constitutional or judicial actions positioned to accelerate his departure before the standard end of term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274,861
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 97%, followed by "30 de junho" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" has generated $274.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.