Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,598 Vol.
$292,598 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,598 Vol.
$292,598 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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