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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

27°C 34%

28°C 33%

26°C 15%

29°C 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

$20,801 Vol.

27°C 34%

28°C 33%

26°C 15%

29°C 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

$20,801 Vol.

21°C ou menos

$652 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$780 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$13,385 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$901 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,128 Vol.

5%

26°C

$943 Vol.

15%

27°C

$572 Vol.

34%

28°C

$517 Vol.

33%

29°C

$581 Vol.

10%

30°C

$760 Vol.

5%

31°C ou mais

$582 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global numerical weather prediction systems points to a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C on May 18, reflecting the tight split in trader positions. May’s seasonal transition brings strengthening southerly flow and rising solar insolation, while elevated sea-surface temperatures associated with the current ENSO-neutral to weak El Niño backdrop sustain above-normal heat. Diurnal heating peaks in the early afternoon before sea-breeze moderation and possible scattered cloud cover introduce small variability that can shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the official record drawn from the King’s Park automatic weather station, any late-day convective development or localized urban heat-island enhancement remains the key uncertainty traders are pricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,801
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global numerical weather prediction systems points to a maximum temperature of 27–28 °C on May 18, reflecting the tight split in trader positions. May’s seasonal transition brings strengthening southerly flow and rising solar insolation, while elevated sea-surface temperatures associated with the current ENSO-neutral to weak El Niño backdrop sustain above-normal heat. Diurnal heating peaks in the early afternoon before sea-breeze moderation and possible scattered cloud cover introduce small variability that can shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the official record drawn from the King’s Park automatic weather station, any late-day convective development or localized urban heat-island enhancement remains the key uncertainty traders are pricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,801
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 34%, followed by "28°C" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?" is "27°C" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 18 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.