Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (37.5%) and 88°F or higher (34.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Houston highs in the upper 80s on May 16 amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal temperatures. Recent observations show May 13 highs near 90°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, but slight divergence arises from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and isolated cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F (24%) if convective activity increases per Storm Prediction Center's slight risk outlook. Key differentiators include timing of diurnal heating, soil moisture deficits enhancing sensible heating, and low-level humidity; watch 00Z model updates and NWS forecast refinements Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
86-87°F 39%
88°F or higher 32%
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 4.5%
NOVO
$14,985 Vol.
NOVO
$14,985 Vol.
16 mai 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
32%
86-87°F 39%
88°F or higher 32%
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 4.5%
NOVO
$14,985 Vol.
NOVO
$14,985 Vol.
16 mai 2026
69°F or below
$2,336 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,273 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,838 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,136 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,838 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$202 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$158 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$104 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$650 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$201 Vol.
39%
88°F or higher
$263 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (37.5%) and 88°F or higher (34.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Houston highs in the upper 80s on May 16 amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal temperatures. Recent observations show May 13 highs near 90°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, but slight divergence arises from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and isolated cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F (24%) if convective activity increases per Storm Prediction Center's slight risk outlook. Key differentiators include timing of diurnal heating, soil moisture deficits enhancing sensible heating, and low-level humidity; watch 00Z model updates and NWS forecast refinements Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$14,985Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (37.5%) and 88°F or higher (34.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Houston highs in the upper 80s on May 16 amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal temperatures. Recent observations show May 13 highs near 90°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, but slight divergence arises from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and isolated cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F (24%) if convective activity increases per Storm Prediction Center's slight risk outlook. Key differentiators include timing of diurnal heating, soil moisture deficits enhancing sensible heating, and low-level humidity; watch 00Z model updates and NWS forecast refinements Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,985Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (37.5%) and 88°F or higher (34.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Houston highs in the upper 80s on May 16 amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal temperatures. Recent observations show May 13 highs near 90°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, but slight divergence arises from model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and isolated cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F (24%) if convective activity increases per Storm Prediction Center's slight risk outlook. Key differentiators include timing of diurnal heating, soil moisture deficits enhancing sensible heating, and low-level humidity; watch 00Z model updates and NWS forecast refinements Friday for shifts ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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