Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Mexico City on May 14, with 99.6% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting daytime maximums of 23–26°C amid stable spring conditions. AccuWeather models align, anticipating around 28°C with abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, and daily peaks rarely dip below 23°C historically. Current upper-air patterns show no cold front intrusion, reinforcing model agreement across ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen polar air mass or dense cloud deck suppressing solar heating, though satellite observations indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN's final update later today for any shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
21°C or higher 99.6%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,458 Vol.
$22,458 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
100%
21°C or higher 99.6%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,458 Vol.
$22,458 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 21°C or higher in Mexico City on May 14, with 99.6% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting daytime maximums of 23–26°C amid stable spring conditions. AccuWeather models align, anticipating around 28°C with abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, and daily peaks rarely dip below 23°C historically. Current upper-air patterns show no cold front intrusion, reinforcing model agreement across ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen polar air mass or dense cloud deck suppressing solar heating, though satellite observations indicate low likelihood; monitor SMN's final update later today for any shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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