Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Mexico City's highest temperature today, May 15, will reach 19°C or higher, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C amid persistent late-dry-season conditions. Observational data from Mexico City International Airport (MMMX) and urban stations already show morning temperatures exceeding 20°C, with clear skies, low humidity (around 30–40%), and upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions—aligning with May climatology where average highs hit 25.4°C on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-measuring scale for heat. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric patterns over the past week, including no recent cold fronts. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt polar air plunge or station-specific measurement error, both improbable given current model ensembles from NOAA and SMN; final SMN daily report expected by evening will confirm resolution based on verified highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
$18,812 Vol.
$18,812 Vol.
15 mai 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
$18,812 Vol.
$18,812 Vol.
15 mai 2026
18°C
$2,473 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,760 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Mexico City's highest temperature today, May 15, will reach 19°C or higher, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C amid persistent late-dry-season conditions. Observational data from Mexico City International Airport (MMMX) and urban stations already show morning temperatures exceeding 20°C, with clear skies, low humidity (around 30–40%), and upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions—aligning with May climatology where average highs hit 25.4°C on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-measuring scale for heat. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric patterns over the past week, including no recent cold fronts. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt polar air plunge or station-specific measurement error, both improbable given current model ensembles from NOAA and SMN; final SMN daily report expected by evening will confirm resolution based on verified highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$18,812Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Mexico City's highest temperature today, May 15, will reach 19°C or higher, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C amid persistent late-dry-season conditions. Observational data from Mexico City International Airport (MMMX) and urban stations already show morning temperatures exceeding 20°C, with clear skies, low humidity (around 30–40%), and upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions—aligning with May climatology where average highs hit 25.4°C on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-measuring scale for heat. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric patterns over the past week, including no recent cold fronts. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt polar air plunge or station-specific measurement error, both improbable given current model ensembles from NOAA and SMN; final SMN daily report expected by evening will confirm resolution based on verified highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,812Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Mexico City's highest temperature today, May 15, will reach 19°C or higher, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C amid persistent late-dry-season conditions. Observational data from Mexico City International Airport (MMMX) and urban stations already show morning temperatures exceeding 20°C, with clear skies, low humidity (around 30–40%), and upper-level ridging suppressing cooler air intrusions—aligning with May climatology where average highs hit 25.4°C on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-measuring scale for heat. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric patterns over the past week, including no recent cold fronts. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt polar air plunge or station-specific measurement error, both improbable given current model ensembles from NOAA and SMN; final SMN daily report expected by evening will confirm resolution based on verified highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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