Current forecasts from NOAA and local models point to a peak of 86–89°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on June 14, driven by clear skies, northerly flow, and suppressed marine-layer influence under persistent high pressure. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 88–89°F (56.5%) and 86–87°F (36.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and recent verification of above-normal warmth. June 2026 has featured 14 consecutive hotter-than-average months, with NOAA assigning 90–100% probability of above-normal temperatures through August; however, small shifts in onshore winds or afternoon cloud cover could cap readings in the mid-80s. Resolution hinges on the official KSEA maximum, with final model runs and real-time observations expected through the afternoon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 4.0%
90-91°F 2.9%
$16,012 Vol.
$16,012 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 4.0%
90-91°F 2.9%
$16,012 Vol.
$16,012 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and local models point to a peak of 86–89°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on June 14, driven by clear skies, northerly flow, and suppressed marine-layer influence under persistent high pressure. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 88–89°F (56.5%) and 86–87°F (36.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and recent verification of above-normal warmth. June 2026 has featured 14 consecutive hotter-than-average months, with NOAA assigning 90–100% probability of above-normal temperatures through August; however, small shifts in onshore winds or afternoon cloud cover could cap readings in the mid-80s. Resolution hinges on the official KSEA maximum, with final model runs and real-time observations expected through the afternoon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions