Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 12 de agosto?
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$2,038 Vol.
Não
24°C
$6,178 Vol.
Não
25°C
$12,885 Vol.
Não
26°C
$11,674 Vol.
Não
27°C
$14,536 Vol.
Não
28°C
$15,427 Vol.
Não
29°C
$18,492 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$20,061 Vol.
Não
31°C
$15,348 Vol.
Não
32°C
$8,278 Vol.
Não
33°C ou mais
$7,831 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$132,749Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132,749Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions