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icon for Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?
Política·Eleições Mundiais

Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?

icon for Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?
Política·Eleições Mundiais

Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?

325–339 44%

340–354 33%

355+ 10%

310–324 8.3%

Polymarket

$65,788 Vol.

325–339 44%

340–354 33%

355+ 10%

310–324 8.3%

Polymarket

$65,788 Vol.

<280

$9,646 Vol.

1%

280–294

$6,318 Vol.

1%

295–309

$3,885 Vol.

5%

310–324

$3,825 Vol.

8%

325–339

$13,970 Vol.

44%

340–354

$7,835 Vol.

33%

355+

$20,309 Vol.

10%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$65,788
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$65,788
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "325–339" at 44%, followed by "340–354" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?" has generated $65.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?" is "325–339" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "340–354" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.