Recent reporting indicates Anthropic has shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to deliver third-quarter results ahead of investor marketing, aligning with the 47.9% implied probability on that month and 22.6% on December. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June, with the prospectus now slated for late September and roadshow activity mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue momentum, including annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion in July and projections above $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these verified milestones while accounting for typical regulatory and market timing risks in large AI listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNovembro de 2026 47.9%
Dezembro de 2026 22.8%
Janeiro de 2027 9.3%
Março de 2027 5.0%
$252,413 Vol.
$252,413 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Setembro de 2026
<1%
Outubro de 2026
3%
Novembro de 2026
48%
Dezembro de 2026
23%
Janeiro de 2027
9%
Fevereiro de 2027
4%
Março de 2027
5%
Abril de 2027
2%
Maio de 2027
1%
Junho de 2027
1%
Julho de 2027
1%
Agosto de 2027
<1%
Setembro de 2027
1%
Outubro de 2027
1%
Novembro de 2027
1%
Dezembro de 2027
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
2%
Novembro de 2026 47.9%
Dezembro de 2026 22.8%
Janeiro de 2027 9.3%
Março de 2027 5.0%
$252,413 Vol.
$252,413 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Setembro de 2026
$34,488 Vol.
<1%
Outubro de 2026
$68,201 Vol.
3%
Novembro de 2026
$30,961 Vol.
48%
Dezembro de 2026
$18,339 Vol.
23%
Janeiro de 2027
$8,510 Vol.
9%
Fevereiro de 2027
$7,518 Vol.
4%
Março de 2027
$7,771 Vol.
5%
Abril de 2027
$7,235 Vol.
2%
Maio de 2027
$7,114 Vol.
1%
Junho de 2027
$7,305 Vol.
1%
Julho de 2027
$6,948 Vol.
1%
Agosto de 2027
$6,775 Vol.
<1%
Setembro de 2027
$6,817 Vol.
1%
Outubro de 2027
$6,636 Vol.
1%
Novembro de 2027
$6,744 Vol.
1%
Dezembro de 2027
$6,776 Vol.
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
$14,273 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reporting indicates Anthropic has shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to deliver third-quarter results ahead of investor marketing, aligning with the 47.9% implied probability on that month and 22.6% on December. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June, with the prospectus now slated for late September and roadshow activity mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue momentum, including annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion in July and projections above $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these verified milestones while accounting for typical regulatory and market timing risks in large AI listings.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Volume
$252,413Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reporting indicates Anthropic has shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to deliver third-quarter results ahead of investor marketing, aligning with the 47.9% implied probability on that month and 22.6% on December. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June, with the prospectus now slated for late September and roadshow activity mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue momentum, including annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion in July and projections above $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these verified milestones while accounting for typical regulatory and market timing risks in large AI listings.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$252,413Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reporting indicates Anthropic has shifted its IPO target from October to November 2026 to deliver third-quarter results ahead of investor marketing, aligning with the 47.9% implied probability on that month and 22.6% on December. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June, with the prospectus now slated for late September and roadshow activity mid-October ahead of the U.S. midterms. Strong revenue momentum, including annualized run rates exceeding $65 billion in July and projections above $100 billion by year-end, supports expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. Trader consensus reflects these verified milestones while accounting for typical regulatory and market timing risks in large AI listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O valor de mercado da Anthropic estará entre US$ 2,0 trilhões e US$ 2,25 trilhões no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO?
24%
Sim
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
96%
Sim
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
83%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions