Recent August ISM Services PMI data at 55.4, exceeding forecasts of 54.3, highlights accelerating business activity and new orders above 60 alongside rising backlogs, supporting trader expectations for September readings clustered in the mid-50s. Persistent employment contraction near 47.8 and prices paid climbing to 72.6 reflect cautious hiring and intensifying cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions. Market-implied odds around 54.0–55.9 capture this resilience in demand metrics tempered by labor market softness and seasonal factors, consistent with the index's 26-month expansion streak and broader economic data trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado54,0 a 54,9 26%
55,0 a 55,9 24%
53,0 a 53,9 18%
56,0 a 56,9 15%
<51,0
2%
51,0 a 51,9
5%
52,0 a 52,9
14%
53,0 a 53,9
18%
54,0 a 54,9
26%
55,0 a 55,9
24%
56,0 a 56,9
15%
57,0 a 57,9
8%
58,0 a 58,9
4%
59,0+
7%
54,0 a 54,9 26%
55,0 a 55,9 24%
53,0 a 53,9 18%
56,0 a 56,9 15%
<51,0
2%
51,0 a 51,9
5%
52,0 a 52,9
14%
53,0 a 53,9
18%
54,0 a 54,9
26%
55,0 a 55,9
24%
56,0 a 56,9
15%
57,0 a 57,9
8%
58,0 a 58,9
4%
59,0+
7%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI data at 55.4, exceeding forecasts of 54.3, highlights accelerating business activity and new orders above 60 alongside rising backlogs, supporting trader expectations for September readings clustered in the mid-50s. Persistent employment contraction near 47.8 and prices paid climbing to 72.6 reflect cautious hiring and intensifying cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions. Market-implied odds around 54.0–55.9 capture this resilience in demand metrics tempered by labor market softness and seasonal factors, consistent with the index's 26-month expansion streak and broader economic data trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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