Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing expansion after July's 55.6 peak—the strongest since 2022—shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's 54.6 reading reflecting slower new orders (53.7) and backlogs amid elevated input prices (71.1) tied to tariffs and Middle East supply strains. Production remains robust at 58.3 while employment and inventories signal continued but cooling growth above the 50 expansion threshold for an eighth straight month. Low customer inventories and resilient output support a base case near recent levels, yet geopolitical and policy risks introduce volatility that aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 50–58 ranges. The October 1 release will incorporate September survey responses and any further shifts in demand or cost pressures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado50,0 a 50,9 28%
57,0 a 57,9 27%
53,0 a 53,9 26%
54,0 a 54,9 26%
NOVO
NOVO
1 out 2026
<50,0
6%
50,0 a 50,9
28%
51,0 a 51,9
24%
52,0 a 52,9
14%
53,0 a 53,9
26%
54,0 a 54,9
26%
55,0 a 55,9
25%
56,0 a 56,9
26%
57,0 a 57,9
27%
58,0+
24%
50,0 a 50,9 28%
57,0 a 57,9 27%
53,0 a 53,9 26%
54,0 a 54,9 26%
NOVO
NOVO
1 out 2026
<50,0
$160 Vol.
6%
50,0 a 50,9
$17 Vol.
28%
51,0 a 51,9
$17 Vol.
24%
52,0 a 52,9
$34 Vol.
14%
53,0 a 53,9
$18 Vol.
26%
54,0 a 54,9
$16 Vol.
26%
55,0 a 55,9
$32 Vol.
25%
56,0 a 56,9
$18 Vol.
26%
57,0 a 57,9
$17 Vol.
27%
58,0+
$26 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing expansion after July's 55.6 peak—the strongest since 2022—shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's 54.6 reading reflecting slower new orders (53.7) and backlogs amid elevated input prices (71.1) tied to tariffs and Middle East supply strains. Production remains robust at 58.3 while employment and inventories signal continued but cooling growth above the 50 expansion threshold for an eighth straight month. Low customer inventories and resilient output support a base case near recent levels, yet geopolitical and policy risks introduce volatility that aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 50–58 ranges. The October 1 release will incorporate September survey responses and any further shifts in demand or cost pressures.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$354Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing expansion after July's 55.6 peak—the strongest since 2022—shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's 54.6 reading reflecting slower new orders (53.7) and backlogs amid elevated input prices (71.1) tied to tariffs and Middle East supply strains. Production remains robust at 58.3 while employment and inventories signal continued but cooling growth above the 50 expansion threshold for an eighth straight month. Low customer inventories and resilient output support a base case near recent levels, yet geopolitical and policy risks introduce volatility that aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 50–58 ranges. The October 1 release will incorporate September survey responses and any further shifts in demand or cost pressures.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$354Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing expansion after July's 55.6 peak—the strongest since 2022—shapes trader positioning for the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, with August's 54.6 reading reflecting slower new orders (53.7) and backlogs amid elevated input prices (71.1) tied to tariffs and Middle East supply strains. Production remains robust at 58.3 while employment and inventories signal continued but cooling growth above the 50 expansion threshold for an eighth straight month. Low customer inventories and resilient output support a base case near recent levels, yet geopolitical and policy risks introduce volatility that aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 50–58 ranges. The October 1 release will incorporate September survey responses and any further shifts in demand or cost pressures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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