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icon for Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$22,293 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$22,293 Vol.

<5

$3,321 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$2,066 Vol.

No

10-14

$3,557 Vol.

No

15-19

$6,156 Vol.

No

20-24

$1,117 Vol.

No

25-29

$412 Vol.

No

30-34

$609 Vol.

No

35-39

$670 Vol.

No

40-44

$685 Vol.

No

45-49

$1,036 Vol.

No

50-54

$1,179 Vol.

No

55-59

$793 Vol.

No

60+

$691 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at virtually 100% probability for May 8–15, 2026, reflecting zero activity in the period through May 14 amid the account's sharp decline following his martyrdom in a US-Israeli airstrike in late February 2026. The bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader," with posts limited to sporadic reposts of archival statements—latest on May 4–5 quoting past remarks on US weakness and Zionist normalization—averaging under one weekly as successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account for new messaging. This established low-volume pattern during institutional transition drives the lopsided odds, with resolution at May 15, 12:00 PM ET; a pre-deadline flurry of historical reposts remains the sole realistic challenge, though mourning protocols make it improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,293
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at virtually 100% probability for May 8–15, 2026, reflecting zero activity in the period through May 14 amid the account's sharp decline following his martyrdom in a US-Israeli airstrike in late February 2026. The bio now describes him as the "martyred Leader," with posts limited to sporadic reposts of archival statements—latest on May 4–5 quoting past remarks on US weakness and Zionist normalization—averaging under one weekly as successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei uses a separate account for new messaging. This established low-volume pattern during institutional transition drives the lopsided odds, with resolution at May 15, 12:00 PM ET; a pre-deadline flurry of historical reposts remains the sole realistic challenge, though mourning protocols make it improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,293
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" has generated $22.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" is "<5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.