Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans, where incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces no Republican challengers after the party filed zero candidates for the canceled May primary. Recent Supreme Court action voiding the prior congressional map prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 primary and June runoff, shifting the contest to a November 3 general election under revised lines that preserve a majority-Black district centered on the New Orleans area. With Carter seeking re-election and minimal intra-party opposition, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s long-standing partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican filing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$41,772 Vol.
$41,772 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
88%
Partido Republicano
7%
$41,772 Vol.
$41,772 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,915 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$19,857 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans, where incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces no Republican challengers after the party filed zero candidates for the canceled May primary. Recent Supreme Court action voiding the prior congressional map prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 primary and June runoff, shifting the contest to a November 3 general election under revised lines that preserve a majority-Black district centered on the New Orleans area. With Carter seeking re-election and minimal intra-party opposition, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s long-standing partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican filing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,772Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans, where incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces no Republican challengers after the party filed zero candidates for the canceled May primary. Recent Supreme Court action voiding the prior congressional map prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 primary and June runoff, shifting the contest to a November 3 general election under revised lines that preserve a majority-Black district centered on the New Orleans area. With Carter seeking re-election and minimal intra-party opposition, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s long-standing partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican filing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,772Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans, where incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces no Republican challengers after the party filed zero candidates for the canceled May primary. Recent Supreme Court action voiding the prior congressional map prompted Governor Jeff Landry to suspend the May 16 primary and June runoff, shifting the contest to a November 3 general election under revised lines that preserve a majority-Black district centered on the New Orleans area. With Carter seeking re-election and minimal intra-party opposition, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s long-standing partisan composition and the absence of competitive Republican filing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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