Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
LA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
78%
Partido Democrata
34%
$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$31,353 Vol.
78%
Partido Democrata
$26,448 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$57,801Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,801Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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