Recent rainfall through August 28 has lowered daytime maxima and increased soil moisture, setting up clearer skies and lighter winds for the night of August 28–29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy conditions with dew points in the mid-teens, typical for late-August Beijing climatology after a frontal passage. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and minimal advection will determine whether the minimum reaches the lower or upper end of that narrow range, keeping 18 °C and 19 °C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings on the 29th remain the next key data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Pequim em 29 de agosto?
18°C 45%
19°C 44%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
14°C or below
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
45%
19°C
44%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
28%
18°C 45%
19°C 44%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
14°C or below
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
45%
19°C
44%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall through August 28 has lowered daytime maxima and increased soil moisture, setting up clearer skies and lighter winds for the night of August 28–29. Official guidance from multiple models shows overnight lows settling near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy conditions with dew points in the mid-teens, typical for late-August Beijing climatology after a frontal passage. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and minimal advection will determine whether the minimum reaches the lower or upper end of that narrow range, keeping 18 °C and 19 °C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings on the 29th remain the next key data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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