Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, following a recent cold front that delivered cooler air masses. Radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and low cloud cover could push readings lower than seasonal averages (historical August minima around 8–10°C), though model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows limited further intensification. Trader sentiment, with the strongest implied probability on 5°C or below, reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and potential model revisions ahead of resolution, as updated SAWS guidance and new runs could shift outcomes toward the 6–9°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 31 de agosto?
6°C 49%
9°C 28%
8°C 27%
10°C 27%
5°C or below
12%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
24%
12°C
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
2%
6°C 49%
9°C 28%
8°C 27%
10°C 27%
5°C or below
12%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
24%
12°C
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, following a recent cold front that delivered cooler air masses. Radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and low cloud cover could push readings lower than seasonal averages (historical August minima around 8–10°C), though model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows limited further intensification. Trader sentiment, with the strongest implied probability on 5°C or below, reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and potential model revisions ahead of resolution, as updated SAWS guidance and new runs could shift outcomes toward the 6–9°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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