Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on August 31, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of late-summer Sichuan basin patterns. Official outlooks project overnight lows near 20–23°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Recent scattered showers have raised local moisture, potentially moderating the drop compared to drier analogs, while stable high pressure supports clearer skies favoring the lower end of trader consensus. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 31 de agosto?
19°C 85%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
20°C 43%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
40%
17°C
13%
18°C
14%
19°C
85%
20°C
43%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 85%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
20°C 43%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
85%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
32%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on August 31, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of late-summer Sichuan basin patterns. Official outlooks project overnight lows near 20–23°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Recent scattered showers have raised local moisture, potentially moderating the drop compared to drier analogs, while stable high pressure supports clearer skies favoring the lower end of trader consensus. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on August 31, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of late-summer Sichuan basin patterns. Official outlooks project overnight lows near 20–23°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Recent scattered showers have raised local moisture, potentially moderating the drop compared to drier analogs, while stable high pressure supports clearer skies favoring the lower end of trader consensus. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on August 31, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity levels typical of late-summer Sichuan basin patterns. Official outlooks project overnight lows near 20–23°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and dew-point depression that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Recent scattered showers have raised local moisture, potentially moderating the drop compared to drier analogs, while stable high pressure supports clearer skies favoring the lower end of trader consensus. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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