Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 14 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–13°C, and current model runs show consistent boundary-layer decoupling without significant Atlantic moisture or wind shear to limit the drop. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for 13°C reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in these stable conditions. The outcome could shift only if late-model revisions introduce unexpected cloud cover or a stronger breeze that restricts cooling to 12°C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 14 de junho?
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C ou menos <1%
$15,020 Vol.
$15,020 Vol.
7°C ou menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C ou menos <1%
$15,020 Vol.
$15,020 Vol.
7°C ou menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 14 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–13°C, and current model runs show consistent boundary-layer decoupling without significant Atlantic moisture or wind shear to limit the drop. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for 13°C reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in these stable conditions. The outcome could shift only if late-model revisions introduce unexpected cloud cover or a stronger breeze that restricts cooling to 12°C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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