Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are expected to promote overnight radiative cooling across Madrid on August 30, with forecast models showing minimum temperatures near 18–21 °C as the most probable outcome. Recent cooling trends, including a 12.4 °C low recorded on August 28, have traders assigning meaningful implied probability to the 13–15 °C range, while the 41.5 % odds on 13 °C or below reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that could enhance or limit cooling. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance, together with historical climatology placing the average August 30 low near 18 °C, underscore that small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of the final observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 30 de agosto?
13°C or below 41%
14°C 35%
16°C 33%
15°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
13°C or below
41%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
33%
17°C
14%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
15%
21°C
15%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
8%
13°C or below 41%
14°C 35%
16°C 33%
15°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
15%
21°C
$5 Vol.
15%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$265 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are expected to promote overnight radiative cooling across Madrid on August 30, with forecast models showing minimum temperatures near 18–21 °C as the most probable outcome. Recent cooling trends, including a 12.4 °C low recorded on August 28, have traders assigning meaningful implied probability to the 13–15 °C range, while the 41.5 % odds on 13 °C or below reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that could enhance or limit cooling. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance, together with historical climatology placing the average August 30 low near 18 °C, underscore that small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$275Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are expected to promote overnight radiative cooling across Madrid on August 30, with forecast models showing minimum temperatures near 18–21 °C as the most probable outcome. Recent cooling trends, including a 12.4 °C low recorded on August 28, have traders assigning meaningful implied probability to the 13–15 °C range, while the 41.5 % odds on 13 °C or below reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that could enhance or limit cooling. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance, together with historical climatology placing the average August 30 low near 18 °C, underscore that small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$275Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are expected to promote overnight radiative cooling across Madrid on August 30, with forecast models showing minimum temperatures near 18–21 °C as the most probable outcome. Recent cooling trends, including a 12.4 °C low recorded on August 28, have traders assigning meaningful implied probability to the 13–15 °C range, while the 41.5 % odds on 13 °C or below reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that could enhance or limit cooling. Official AEMET and ECMWF guidance, together with historical climatology placing the average August 30 low near 18 °C, underscore that small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of the final observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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