Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to overnight lows near 26–27°C amid the active southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions reduce radiative cooling at night, supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius rather than sharper drops possible under clearer skies. Persistent monsoon flow and a nearby low-pressure area favor limited diurnal temperature range, consistent with historical September averages around 25–26°C. Trader odds remain dispersed across 25–28°C bins because small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability on extremes reflects the unlikelihood of either strong cooling or anomalous warmth this close to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila a 1 de setembro?
32°C ou mais 55%
22°C or below 53%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
15%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
55%
32°C ou mais 55%
22°C or below 53%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
53%
23°C
15%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to overnight lows near 26–27°C amid the active southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions reduce radiative cooling at night, supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius rather than sharper drops possible under clearer skies. Persistent monsoon flow and a nearby low-pressure area favor limited diurnal temperature range, consistent with historical September averages around 25–26°C. Trader odds remain dispersed across 25–28°C bins because small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability on extremes reflects the unlikelihood of either strong cooling or anomalous warmth this close to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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