Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan's overnight minimum for September 17, driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential warm advection from southerly flows that could limit radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 23°C or higher at 37% reflects scenarios of above-average warmth persisting into the night, while the clustering around 13–18°C outcomes captures risks of clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September baselines for Milan show typical lows near 15–18°C, underscoring how short-term model shifts could alter these market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 17 de setembro?
23°C ou mais 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
13°C ou menos 25%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
13°C ou menos
25%
14°C
16%
15°C
21%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
15%
23°C ou mais
77%
23°C ou mais 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
13°C ou menos 25%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$64 Vol.
25%
14°C
$10 Vol.
16%
15°C
$8 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan's overnight minimum for September 17, driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential warm advection from southerly flows that could limit radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 23°C or higher at 37% reflects scenarios of above-average warmth persisting into the night, while the clustering around 13–18°C outcomes captures risks of clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September baselines for Milan show typical lows near 15–18°C, underscoring how short-term model shifts could alter these market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$83Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan's overnight minimum for September 17, driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential warm advection from southerly flows that could limit radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 23°C or higher at 37% reflects scenarios of above-average warmth persisting into the night, while the clustering around 13–18°C outcomes captures risks of clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September baselines for Milan show typical lows near 15–18°C, underscoring how short-term model shifts could alter these market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan's overnight minimum for September 17, driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and potential warm advection from southerly flows that could limit radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 23°C or higher at 37% reflects scenarios of above-average warmth persisting into the night, while the clustering around 13–18°C outcomes captures risks of clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September baselines for Milan show typical lows near 15–18°C, underscoring how short-term model shifts could alter these market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions