Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in projected minimum temperatures for Milan on September 16, with some ensembles favoring cooler air advection under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others indicate warmer southeasterly flow. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-14°C outcomes and readings of 23°C or higher. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows near 15–18°C, but rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift values several degrees in either direction. Updated high-resolution model guidance and local observational data expected within the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 16 de setembro?
13°C ou menos 73%
23°C ou mais 73%
19°C 37%
22°C 37%
13°C ou menos
73%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
20%
17°C
23%
18°C
30%
19°C
37%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C ou mais
73%
13°C ou menos 73%
23°C ou mais 73%
19°C 37%
22°C 37%
13°C ou menos
73%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
20%
17°C
23%
18°C
30%
19°C
37%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C ou mais
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show notable spread in projected minimum temperatures for Milan on September 16, with some ensembles favoring cooler air advection under a strengthening high-pressure ridge while others indicate warmer southeasterly flow. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-14°C outcomes and readings of 23°C or higher. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows near 15–18°C, but rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover can shift values several degrees in either direction. Updated high-resolution model guidance and local observational data expected within the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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