Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project a minimum temperature near 10–11°C in Munich overnight into September 12, under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity that favor radiative cooling after a daytime high around 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.5°C for the date. Trader positioning shows tight spreads between the 14°C-or-higher and sub-4°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include tail risks from small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 11 will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 12 de setembro?
14°C ou mais 90%
4°C ou menos 87%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
4°C ou menos
87%
5°C
28%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
39%
12°C
17%
13°C
38%
14°C ou mais
90%
14°C ou mais 90%
4°C ou menos 87%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
4°C ou menos
87%
5°C
28%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
39%
12°C
17%
13°C
38%
14°C ou mais
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project a minimum temperature near 10–11°C in Munich overnight into September 12, under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity that favor radiative cooling after a daytime high around 21–23°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.5°C for the date. Trader positioning shows tight spreads between the 14°C-or-higher and sub-4°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest yet include tail risks from small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of September 11 will further refine the precise overnight minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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