Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 19 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 92%
18°C 47%
15°C ou menos 36%
19°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
15°C ou menos
36%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
47%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
9%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C ou mais
92%
25°C ou mais 92%
18°C 47%
15°C ou menos 36%
19°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$10 Vol.
47%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$10 Vol.
17%
24°C
$10 Vol.
17%
25°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou around 19–22°C for September 19, driven by seasonal early-autumn cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that limit mixing and promote modest radiative cooling. The market's leading 18°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance, reflecting expectations of efficient nighttime heat loss under stable high-pressure conditions typical for the region this time of year. Higher-probability clusters around 19°C and elevated 25°C+ odds capture model spread and residual uncertainty from daytime warmth persisting into the evening, while lower thresholds like 15°C or below remain discounted due to the absence of strong cold-air advection. Upcoming updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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