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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts

icon for Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts

Ed Markey 72%

Seth Moulton 25%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Polymarket

$13,320 Vol.

Ed Markey 72%

Seth Moulton 25%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Polymarket

$13,320 Vol.

Ed Markey

$6,035 Vol.

72%

Seth Moulton

$4,065 Vol.

25%

Alexander Rikleen

$1,339 Vol.

1%

Ayanna Pressley

$1,881 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary as voters weigh his decades of congressional service against Rep. Seth Moulton's challenge as a younger alternative focused on generational change. Recent Emerson College polling shows Markey ahead 37% to 32%, narrowing from earlier double-digit margins, with nearly 30% of likely primary voters still undecided ahead of the September 1 contest. Moulton's endorsements from groups like VoteVets and the Massachusetts Teamsters have boosted his visibility, yet Markey's established base among Democratic voters continues to anchor trader consensus at 71.5%. Minor candidates including Alexander Rikleen and Ayanna Pressley register negligible support in surveys, underscoring the race's focus on the two leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,320
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary as voters weigh his decades of congressional service against Rep. Seth Moulton's challenge as a younger alternative focused on generational change. Recent Emerson College polling shows Markey ahead 37% to 32%, narrowing from earlier double-digit margins, with nearly 30% of likely primary voters still undecided ahead of the September 1 contest. Moulton's endorsements from groups like VoteVets and the Massachusetts Teamsters have boosted his visibility, yet Markey's established base among Democratic voters continues to anchor trader consensus at 71.5%. Minor candidates including Alexander Rikleen and Ayanna Pressley register negligible support in surveys, underscoring the race's focus on the two leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,320
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 72%, followed by "Seth Moulton" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" has generated $13.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" is "Ed Markey" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seth Moulton" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Massachusetts" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.