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Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan

icon for Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan

Abdul El-Sayed 56%

Mallory McMorrow 25%

Haley Stevens 12.7%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$553,878 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed 56%

Mallory McMorrow 25%

Haley Stevens 12.7%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$553,878 Vol.

Abdul El-Sayed

$107,219 Vol.

56%

Mallory McMorrow

$42,444 Vol.

25%

Haley Stevens

$34,358 Vol.

13%

Dana Nessel

$41,012 Vol.

1%

Rashida Tlaib

$43,100 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$30,624 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$125,802 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$27,611 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$101,707 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary, with support rising to 28 percent in the latest Mitchell Research survey amid a three-way contest against state Senator Mallory McMorrow and Representative Haley Stevens. El-Sayed’s gains reflect stronger backing from younger voters and progressive networks, alongside competitive first-quarter fundraising that outpaced Stevens. McMorrow maintains a solid suburban base while Stevens draws establishment interest, yet both trail as attacks intensify among the leading candidates. Traders have priced this momentum into current odds, viewing El-Sayed as the most likely nominee unless a late consolidation or turnout shift alters the race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$553,878
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary, with support rising to 28 percent in the latest Mitchell Research survey amid a three-way contest against state Senator Mallory McMorrow and Representative Haley Stevens. El-Sayed’s gains reflect stronger backing from younger voters and progressive networks, alongside competitive first-quarter fundraising that outpaced Stevens. McMorrow maintains a solid suburban base while Stevens draws establishment interest, yet both trail as attacks intensify among the leading candidates. Traders have priced this momentum into current odds, viewing El-Sayed as the most likely nominee unless a late consolidation or turnout shift alters the race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$553,878
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 56%, followed by "Mallory McMorrow" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" has generated $553.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mallory McMorrow" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.