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Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Rogers 97.6%

Kent Benham <1%

Fred Heurtebise <1%

Genevieve Scott <1%

Polymarket

$10,009 Vol.

Mike Rogers 97.6%

Kent Benham <1%

Fred Heurtebise <1%

Genevieve Scott <1%

Polymarket

$10,009 Vol.

Mike Rogers

$5,604 Vol.

98%

Kent Benham

$1,528 Vol.

1%

Fred Heurtebise

$819 Vol.

1%

Genevieve Scott

$874 Vol.

<1%

Bernadette Smith

$643 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Kamal

$541 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in the Michigan Republican primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, scheduled for August 4, 2026, driven by his prior statewide name recognition as the 2024 nominee, Trump endorsement, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $7 million, and established ground operation. Most listed challengers have withdrawn or face disqualification, leaving minimal organized opposition and producing polling margins exceeding 50 points in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in an open-seat contest following Gary Peters' retirement announcement. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health issue affecting Rogers before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,009
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in the Michigan Republican primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, scheduled for August 4, 2026, driven by his prior statewide name recognition as the 2024 nominee, Trump endorsement, extensive fundraising edge exceeding $7 million, and established ground operation. Most listed challengers have withdrawn or face disqualification, leaving minimal organized opposition and producing polling margins exceeding 50 points in recent surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in an open-seat contest following Gary Peters' retirement announcement. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health issue affecting Rogers before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,009
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rogers" at 98%, followed by "Kent Benham" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $10K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Rogers" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kent Benham" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.