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icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan

Mike Rogers 95%

Andrew Kamal 1.6%

Kent Benham 1.5%

Bernadette Smith 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mike Rogers 95%

Andrew Kamal 1.6%

Kent Benham 1.5%

Bernadette Smith 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mike Rogers

$4,075 Vol.

95%

Andrew Kamal

$483 Vol.

2%

Kent Benham

$1,464 Vol.

2%

Bernadette Smith

$607 Vol.

1%

Fred Heurtebise

$762 Vol.

1%

Genevieve Scott

$480 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican Senate primary due to his extensive prior congressional experience, strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss, and early consolidation of party support including a major endorsement. Recent campaign finance reports show his operation with over $4 million cash on hand and a $45 million commitment from a leading Republican super PAC, while lesser-known challengers such as Andrew Kamal and Genevieve Scott have minimal visibility or resources ahead of the August 4 primary. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Rogers reflects this structural edge, though late developments including a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected high-profile endorsement for an opponent could still shift momentum in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,871
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican Senate primary due to his extensive prior congressional experience, strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss, and early consolidation of party support including a major endorsement. Recent campaign finance reports show his operation with over $4 million cash on hand and a $45 million commitment from a leading Republican super PAC, while lesser-known challengers such as Andrew Kamal and Genevieve Scott have minimal visibility or resources ahead of the August 4 primary. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Rogers reflects this structural edge, though late developments including a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected high-profile endorsement for an opponent could still shift momentum in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,871
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rogers" at 95%, followed by "Andrew Kamal" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 22, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" is "Mike Rogers" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrew Kamal" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.