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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 13.8%

Mike Ruoho 1.8%

Royce White 1.4%

Polymarket

$83,124 Vol.

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 13.8%

Mike Ruoho 1.8%

Royce White 1.4%

Polymarket

$83,124 Vol.

Michele Tafoya

$3,975 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$5,223 Vol.

14%

Mike Ruoho

$1,205 Vol.

2%

Royce White

$31,768 Vol.

1%

Jim Nash

$2,555 Vol.

1%

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,853 Vol.

1%

David Hann

$22,148 Vol.

1%

Julia Coleman

$4,528 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Brooks

$1,433 Vol.

<1%

Tom Weiler

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$2,156 Vol.

<1%

Raymond Petersen

$1,284 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Republican Senate primary as traders assess her strong name recognition from a career as a sports broadcaster, early national Republican Senatorial Committee backing, and consistent polling advantages among likely GOP voters. The August 11 primary determines the nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Democratic Senator Tina Smith, with Tafoya entering the race in January and quickly establishing statewide leads in surveys conducted through early 2026. Recent developments include a split within the Minnesota GOP over national party support for Tafoya, while other contenders such as Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze maintain limited traction. Market pricing reflects the frontrunner's media profile and institutional endorsements amid a field of lower-profile challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,124
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Republican Senate primary as traders assess her strong name recognition from a career as a sports broadcaster, early national Republican Senatorial Committee backing, and consistent polling advantages among likely GOP voters. The August 11 primary determines the nominee for the open seat vacated by retiring Democratic Senator Tina Smith, with Tafoya entering the race in January and quickly establishing statewide leads in surveys conducted through early 2026. Recent developments include a split within the Minnesota GOP over national party support for Tafoya, while other contenders such as Navy SEAL veteran Adam Schwarze maintain limited traction. Market pricing reflects the frontrunner's media profile and institutional endorsements amid a field of lower-profile challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,124
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, followed by "Adam Schwarze" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" has generated $83.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Schwarze" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.