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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

icon for Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Reilly Neill 87%

Alani Bankhead 6.8%

Michael BlackWolf 2.9%

Michael Hummert <1%

Polymarket

$10,754 Vol.

Reilly Neill 87%

Alani Bankhead 6.8%

Michael BlackWolf 2.9%

Michael Hummert <1%

Polymarket

$10,754 Vol.

Reilly Neill

$6,677 Vol.

87%

Alani Bankhead

$1,301 Vol.

7%

Michael BlackWolf

$306 Vol.

3%

Michael Hummert

$2,244 Vol.

1%

Kathleen McLaughlin

$226 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill holds a commanding lead in the Montana Democratic Senate primary due to her background as a former state representative and substantial fundraising advantage over rivals. With the June 2 primary just weeks away, traders have priced in her established name recognition and organizational edge in a field that includes Alani Bankhead, an Air Force veteran and leadership coach, along with Michael Black Wolf, Michael Hummert, and Kathleen McLaughlin, who has withdrawn. Recent independent mailers and digital ads boosting Bankhead have not shifted the consensus, reflecting limited movement in voter outreach or endorsements ahead of the vote. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where experienced candidates consolidate support quickly in low-turnout primaries.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,754
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill holds a commanding lead in the Montana Democratic Senate primary due to her background as a former state representative and substantial fundraising advantage over rivals. With the June 2 primary just weeks away, traders have priced in her established name recognition and organizational edge in a field that includes Alani Bankhead, an Air Force veteran and leadership coach, along with Michael Black Wolf, Michael Hummert, and Kathleen McLaughlin, who has withdrawn. Recent independent mailers and digital ads boosting Bankhead have not shifted the consensus, reflecting limited movement in voter outreach or endorsements ahead of the vote. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where experienced candidates consolidate support quickly in low-turnout primaries.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,754
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reilly Neill" at 87%, followed by "Alani Bankhead" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is "Reilly Neill" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alani Bankhead" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.