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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

Cinde Warmington 75%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.4%

Deaglan McEachern 3.9%

Polymarket

$23,136 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 75%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.4%

Deaglan McEachern 3.9%

Polymarket

$23,136 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$8,788 Vol.

75%

John Kiper

$2,568 Vol.

5%

Tom Sherman

$1,956 Vol.

4%

Deaglan McEachern

$8,600 Vol.

4%

Donovan Fenton

$1,224 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire governor, set for September 8, 2026, due to her prior statewide name recognition from the 2024 primary and her early February 2026 campaign launch emphasizing affordability and cost-of-living issues. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College in March showed her ahead of Jon Kiper by a wide margin among likely Democratic primary voters. Kiper’s April departure from the Democratic Party to run under the Community First banner further consolidated support behind Warmington, while other potential entrants such as Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton have declined or stepped aside. Traders appear to view these developments as clearing a low-barrier path for Warmington, consistent with her established fundraising and organizational edge in a sparsely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,136
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire governor, set for September 8, 2026, due to her prior statewide name recognition from the 2024 primary and her early February 2026 campaign launch emphasizing affordability and cost-of-living issues. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College in March showed her ahead of Jon Kiper by a wide margin among likely Democratic primary voters. Kiper’s April departure from the Democratic Party to run under the Community First banner further consolidated support behind Warmington, while other potential entrants such as Deaglan McEachern and Donovan Fenton have declined or stepped aside. Traders appear to view these developments as clearing a low-barrier path for Warmington, consistent with her established fundraising and organizational edge in a sparsely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,136
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 75%, followed by "John Kiper" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" has generated $23.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is "Cinde Warmington" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Kiper" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.