Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing Ayotte ahead by 5 to 11 points. This positioning drives trader consensus toward the Republican outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency in a state with divided government and competitive leanings, while Warmington has made limited gains despite mixed assessments of the governor's job performance. Forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican, with no major recent shifts from legislative actions or candidate announcements altering the dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$16,376 Vol.
$16,376 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
81%
Democrata
18%
$16,376 Vol.
$16,376 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$7,449 Vol.
81%
Democrata
$8,927 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing Ayotte ahead by 5 to 11 points. This positioning drives trader consensus toward the Republican outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency in a state with divided government and competitive leanings, while Warmington has made limited gains despite mixed assessments of the governor's job performance. Forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican, with no major recent shifts from legislative actions or candidate announcements altering the dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$16,376Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing Ayotte ahead by 5 to 11 points. This positioning drives trader consensus toward the Republican outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency in a state with divided government and competitive leanings, while Warmington has made limited gains despite mixed assessments of the governor's job performance. Forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican, with no major recent shifts from legislative actions or candidate announcements altering the dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,376Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing Ayotte ahead by 5 to 11 points. This positioning drives trader consensus toward the Republican outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency in a state with divided government and competitive leanings, while Warmington has made limited gains despite mixed assessments of the governor's job performance. Forecasters rate the contest as likely Republican, with no major recent shifts from legislative actions or candidate announcements altering the dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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