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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York

Bruce Blakeman 95%

Elise Stefanik 2.2%

Pat Hahn 2.1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$90,583 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman 95%

Elise Stefanik 2.2%

Pat Hahn 2.1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$90,583 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman

$13,019 Vol.

95%

Elise Stefanik

$11,733 Vol.

2%

Pat Hahn

$2,865 Vol.

2%

Betsy McCaughey

$21,886 Vol.

1%

David Tulley

$41,081 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,583
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,583
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bruce Blakeman" at 95%, followed by "Elise Stefanik" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" has generated $90.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" is "Bruce Blakeman" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elise Stefanik" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.