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icon for Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

icon for Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

set 30

set 30

3 37.6%

2 33%

4+ 24.2%

1 2.0%

Polymarket

$48,396 Vol.

3 37.6%

2 33%

4+ 24.2%

1 2.0%

Polymarket

$48,396 Vol.

1

$12,453 Vol.

2%

2

$4,776 Vol.

33%

3

$3,121 Vol.

38%

4+

$4,738 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s missile activity in September 2026 has centered on two distinct events amid ongoing tensions over U.S.-led military exercises. Multiple short-range ballistic missiles were fired on September 12 as part of a joint firepower drill involving drones and other systems, followed by two additional short-range launches from the Wonsan area on September 20. These tests occurred shortly after Pyongyang criticized regional drills and reaffirmed its nuclear posture. With roughly nine days remaining and diplomatic activity including a planned Trump-Xi summit, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether further launches will occur in response to perceived provocations or de-escalate. The narrow spread between two and three tests captures the balance between recent patterns and the potential for additional events tied to alliance maneuvers or North Korean signaling.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$48,396
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s missile activity in September 2026 has centered on two distinct events amid ongoing tensions over U.S.-led military exercises. Multiple short-range ballistic missiles were fired on September 12 as part of a joint firepower drill involving drones and other systems, followed by two additional short-range launches from the Wonsan area on September 20. These tests occurred shortly after Pyongyang criticized regional drills and reaffirmed its nuclear posture. With roughly nine days remaining and diplomatic activity including a planned Trump-Xi summit, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over whether further launches will occur in response to perceived provocations or de-escalate. The narrow spread between two and three tests captures the balance between recent patterns and the potential for additional events tied to alliance maneuvers or North Korean signaling.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$48,396
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 38%, followed by "2" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" has generated $48.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" is "3" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.