Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The district’s R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its eastern Oregon rural conservative base. Bentz’s substantial fundraising advantage—over $800,000 raised with more than $1.3 million cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Democratic nominee’s limited resources. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5% because these structural factors, combined with Bentz’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, create formidable barriers. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOR-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
OR-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
6%
NOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,187 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$4,650 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The district’s R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its eastern Oregon rural conservative base. Bentz’s substantial fundraising advantage—over $800,000 raised with more than $1.3 million cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Democratic nominee’s limited resources. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5% because these structural factors, combined with Bentz’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, create formidable barriers. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$8,837Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The district’s R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its eastern Oregon rural conservative base. Bentz’s substantial fundraising advantage—over $800,000 raised with more than $1.3 million cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Democratic nominee’s limited resources. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5% because these structural factors, combined with Bentz’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, create formidable barriers. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,837Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The district’s R+14 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its eastern Oregon rural conservative base. Bentz’s substantial fundraising advantage—over $800,000 raised with more than $1.3 million cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Democratic nominee’s limited resources. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5% because these structural factors, combined with Bentz’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, create formidable barriers. A national Democratic surge, late scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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