Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+24, anchored in the eastern Portland metro area. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 89 percent of the vote, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would signal an upset. Late-breaking developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or an unusually large national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
$20,016 Vol.
$20,016 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$20,016 Vol.
$20,016 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,761 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$15,255 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+24, anchored in the eastern Portland metro area. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 89 percent of the vote, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would signal an upset. Late-breaking developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or an unusually large national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,016Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+24, anchored in the eastern Portland metro area. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 89 percent of the vote, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would signal an upset. Late-breaking developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or an unusually large national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,016Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+24, anchored in the eastern Portland metro area. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Dexter secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 89 percent of the vote, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Democrats reflects this entrenched partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would signal an upset. Late-breaking developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or an unusually large national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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