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icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Christine Drazan 82%

Ed Diehl 15.7%

Chris Dudley 4.3%

Chael Sonnen <1%

Polymarket

$125,728 Vol.

Christine Drazan 82%

Ed Diehl 15.7%

Chris Dudley 4.3%

Chael Sonnen <1%

Polymarket

$125,728 Vol.

Christine Drazan

$26,404 Vol.

82%

Ed Diehl

$10,148 Vol.

16%

Chris Dudley

$15,147 Vol.

4%

Chael Sonnen

$13,051 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Duyck

$20,746 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Kintz

$6,321 Vol.

<1%

Robert Neuman

$11,604 Vol.

<1%

Danielle Bethell

$9,779 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$3,954 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$4,102 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$4,471 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Christine Drazan leads trader consensus in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary due to her commanding position in recent independent polls of likely voters and her established name recognition as the party's 2022 nominee. Late April surveys showed her ahead of state Rep. Ed Diehl and former NBA player Chris Dudley by roughly two-to-one margins, while a Predict Oregon poll released in the final days before the May 19 vote indicates a tightening race with Drazan at 41 percent and Diehl at 38 percent among decided voters. Mail ballots have already begun returning, and top candidates have focused campaigns on education, taxes, and public safety, yet Drazan's prior statewide experience continues to anchor her front-runner status among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$125,728
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Christine Drazan leads trader consensus in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary due to her commanding position in recent independent polls of likely voters and her established name recognition as the party's 2022 nominee. Late April surveys showed her ahead of state Rep. Ed Diehl and former NBA player Chris Dudley by roughly two-to-one margins, while a Predict Oregon poll released in the final days before the May 19 vote indicates a tightening race with Drazan at 41 percent and Diehl at 38 percent among decided voters. Mail ballots have already begun returning, and top candidates have focused campaigns on education, taxes, and public safety, yet Drazan's prior statewide experience continues to anchor her front-runner status among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$125,728
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christine Drazan" at 82%, followed by "Ed Diehl" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" has generated $125.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is "Christine Drazan" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Diehl" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.