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icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.8%

Kamala Harris 6.6%

Polymarket

$584,500,666 Vol.

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.8%

Kamala Harris 6.6%

Polymarket

$584,500,666 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$12,095,877 Vol.

19%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$16,410,027 Vol.

17%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$9,859,532 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$7,452,025 Vol.

7%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$11,453,220 Vol.

5%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$4,212,634 Vol.

4%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$11,076,565 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$6,412,476 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$10,943,724 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,864,159 Vol.

2%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$4,422,664 Vol.

2%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$18,248,068 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$12,256,022 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$6,914,032 Vol.

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$11,735,923 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$5,080,343 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$24,038,266 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$10,463,182 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,397,682 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephen Smith

Stephen Smith

$30,998,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Jamie Dimon

Jamie Dimon

$8,942,931 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$32,952,911 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,937,940 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$24,281,355 Vol.

1%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$8,310,957 Vol.

1%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$5,525,204 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$9,272,465 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$23,968,057 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$30,196,373 Vol.

1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$33,179,683 Vol.

1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$19,418,105 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$41,276,634 Vol.

1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$50,349,296 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$6,173,243 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$35,425,677 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$11,968,384 Vol.

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio hold the top positions in 2028 presidential winner markets because early positioning after the 2024 election has kept their national profiles elevated while broader party fortunes remain fluid. Rubio’s recent gains stem from his cabinet role handling foreign policy priorities and visible alignment with administration goals, as reflected in insider assessments and a May Rose Garden polling exercise. Vance maintains a narrow lead through his vice presidential visibility yet faces polling softness amid voter focus on economic conditions and global tensions. Newsom sustains Democratic interest through his term-limited governorship and primary visibility, though head-to-head surveys show him competitive rather than dominant. With the 2026 midterms still six months away and no major endorsements or scandals reshaping the field, trader consensus views the contest as open, with separation likely to emerge from confirmation hearings, midterm results, or primary polling shifts in the coming year.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$584,500,666
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio hold the top positions in 2028 presidential winner markets because early positioning after the 2024 election has kept their national profiles elevated while broader party fortunes remain fluid. Rubio’s recent gains stem from his cabinet role handling foreign policy priorities and visible alignment with administration goals, as reflected in insider assessments and a May Rose Garden polling exercise. Vance maintains a narrow lead through his vice presidential visibility yet faces polling softness amid voter focus on economic conditions and global tensions. Newsom sustains Democratic interest through his term-limited governorship and primary visibility, though head-to-head surveys show him competitive rather than dominant. With the 2026 midterms still six months away and no major endorsements or scandals reshaping the field, trader consensus views the contest as open, with separation likely to emerge from confirmation hearings, midterm results, or primary polling shifts in the coming year.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$584,500,666
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 19%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" has generated $584.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is "JD Vance" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.