United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRússia Unida (ER) 95.8%
Novo Povo (NL) 2.0%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.0%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
$1,356,699 Vol.
$1,356,699 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
96%
Novo Povo (NL)
2%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 95.8%
Novo Povo (NL) 2.0%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.0%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
$1,356,699 Vol.
$1,356,699 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$522,960 Vol.
96%
Novo Povo (NL)
$81,105 Vol.
2%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$105,017 Vol.
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$79,857 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
$231,467 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$222,887 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$113,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,356,699Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$1,356,699Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions